‘Slice and Dice’ Credit Card Deals Return
By: Stephen Foley, Financial
Times
The summer holiday that went on
the American Express card, the private indulgence charged to a Victoria’s Secret
store card, the winter wardrobe that won’t be paid off until spring ... these
little debts are flying round the financial system again and investors cannot
get enough of them.
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AP
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But while asset-backed
securities (ABS) created from government-insured mortgages or from
car loans have been widely available, issuance of credit card ABS took longer to
crank back into life.
The reason is that U.S. banks had
plenty of other options for funding their credit card lending, not least vast
inflows of deposits for which they are paying close to nothing. The sound of
investors begging has finally got through this year, though. After a three-year
hiatus, Citigroup issued its first credit card ABS last week, a $500m tranche of
securities backed by receivables into its Credit Card Issuance Trust.
More than $30bn was issued in the
US in the first nine months of 2012, Dealogic data shows, more than in the
previous 27 months combined. The third quarter this year was the best for
issuance for three years.
When banks ended their boom-time
spree and rationed credit card debt, consumers began paying off their balances
and the banks’ loan pools began to shrink, making ABS issuance less of a
priority. Bankers, though, have started to fret that investors might lose their
credit-card ABS habit if the drought of issuance continued — another reason why
activity has resumed.
“AAA-rated ABS for most issuers
are cheaper relative to deposit funding and unsecured financing than they were
in the past, and there is also internal pressure and regulatory pressure to keep
a diverse funding book,” said Dan McGarvey, head of Asset-Backed Finance for the
Americas at RBS Securities.
“Another reason is that, faced
with continuing strong demand, issuers want to get product out there to keep
investors engaged.”
Such is the strength of ABS demand
in the US that overseas lenders are looking to tap the market. Canadian
institutions have issued more than $5bn of credit card-backed
securities south of the border this year. Last week,
RBC issued a $1.2bn slug of ABS, upping the total by $300m from its original
plan. According to S&P, cross-border transactions had accounted for 14 per
cent of US issuance by September.
Investors’ appetite can be seen in
tightening spreads. A Barclays index shows adjusted spreads at 93 basis points
over Treasuries at the start of the year, down to 58 at the start of the third
quarter and now at 42.
As well as accepting relatively
lower yields, investors are willing to take the risk of longer-dated ABS. The
average maturity of securities issued this year is close to seven years,
according to Dealogic. In 2011, five years was typical.
Senior ABS bankers say that
impending regulatory changes have given lenders an additional push towards
longer-dated securitization.
The international Basel III accord
will impose liquidity standards on banks for the first time, through a rule
called the Liquidity Coverage Ratio, which urges institutions to hold enough
easy-to-sell assets to survive a 30-day outflow of capital.
The thrust of this and of other regulation since the credit crisis has been to raise the pressure on banks to diversify their sources of funding away from depositors, who can flee in a crisis, to investors such as the buyers of long-term ABS.
JPMorgan Chase has been the most
prolific issuer of credit card ABS this year, accounting for 25 per cent in the
US, on S&P data, followed closely by Discover.
Other issuers include American
Express, General Electric and WFN, whose white-label store cards are used by
Victoria’s Secret, Pottery Barn, Ann Taylor and other chains. In all, 37
credit-card ABS deals have come to market so far this year. Four of them have
had average maturities as long as 10 years, the highest number since 2008.
The outlook for investor demand is
unlikely to dim as long as the credit quality in the underlying pools remains
this high, says Michael Dean, head of consumer ABS at Fitch.
The rating agency reported that
the amount of debt on cards more than 60 days delinquent fell to 1.76 per cent
in August, the lowest level since its Fitch Prime Credit Card Index was launched
21 years ago. Delinquencies are down 26 per cent, year-over-year, and are also
well below the long-term average of 3.02 per cent.
“Card issuers were proactive early
on in the crisis in cleansing their portfolios of riskier borrowers,” said Mr
Dean. “Credit card ABS performed exceptionally well during the credit crisis.
Issuers took steps to safeguard their trusts, although the strength of the ABS
structures would have yielded only marginal downgrades even if they hadn’t done
so.
“Securitization was deemed taboo
during the crisis, but once it became clear that sectors like consumer ABS
proved resilient, investor demand resurged.”
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